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January 2009 Performance Review

2009 is starting off even worse than 2008. In January, the S&P 500 fell by 8.41%, with a similar drop in the Dow of 8.65%. Small cap stocks fared even worse with an 11.12% slide in the Russell 2000 Index, which measures smaller cap stocks. Even the mighty long-term government bond slid a sharp 8.5%, ending last year’s meteoric run. Tech stocks were relatively strong with a 6.3% drop in the Nasdaq and a mild 2.29% drop in the larger cap-oriented Nasdaq 100.

December 2009 performance review

At least the market ended the year on a positive note. The S&P 500 was up a measly 1.06% in December, but this not-so-sharp turnaround means the S&P 500 fell a ‘mere’ 37% in 2008. The Dow fared better for the year, with a 31.93% drop, but managed to retreat 0.39% in December. The Nasdaq was down just over 40% for the year and up 2.7% for the month, while the Russell 2000 small cap index did manage to get hot with a 5.80% return for the month, keeping the total loss for the year down to 33.79%. Foreign indexes were down over 40% in ’08.All of our model portfolios beat the S&P 500 in December and for the year.

All You Wanted To Know About Investing In The New Year But Were Afraid To Ask

The New Year is traditionally the time of New Year’s Resolutions, “I will eat less and exercise more” or “I will quit smoking”.  New Year’s offers everyone a time to reflect on past behaviors and decisions and commit to resolutions to fix, or prevent, bad behavior. Unfortunately, the investment community doesn’t waste much time on such resolutions. If they did, the list of resolutions  for 2009 would be extensive.

November 2008 performance review

Compared to October, November was a gangbuster month for stocks. The S&P fell only 7.18%, the Nasdaq and Russell 2000 dropped by double-digits, and the Dow posted a 4.86% loss. Government bonds were the only true winner. The Lehman Brothers US Government Long Bond Index gained a blistering 11.78% as interest rates on government bonds plunged to record lows caused by investors panic buying the safest investment around. Too bad Lehman didn’t own more government bonds - they might still be in business. What did Lehman load up on near the end? Commercial real estate – REITs were about the worst performing area last month with a roughly 25% drop.

Black Friday Stock Market Sale — 70% Off

Mutual fund flows are one of the primary indicators that tell us when and where to invest in our MAXadvisor Powerfund Portfolios.This current bear market demonstrates why popular investing ideas don’t belong in your portfolio – the investments most popular with fund investors have been the hardest hit. 

Eighth Annual Mutual Fund Turkey Awards

11/28/08 - Watch Out

It's Not an Honor Just to be Nominated.

Not exactly a rare breed even in the best of times, the Fund Turkey multiplies exponentially when the market turns south.

A bear market is a high-powered headlight bar across the top of your fund research pickup truck, shining a spotlight on bull market excess. Tis the season to hunt Fund Turkeys (squawking all the way about investing abroad or in commodities), and thin this breed.

So without further ado, it's high time for our 8th annual Fund Turkey Awards!

The "Audacity of Hope" Award
Winner: Bear Stearns

At the top of the list of suckers for the real estate bubble is was Bear Stearns, the century-old Wall Street investment bank that collapsed well before the other leveraged "Masters of the Universe” suffered similar fates. What started innocuously enough with leveraged mortgage debt hedge funds didn’t end until the entire firm lay in ruins.

But failure's no reason to give up! You have to give Bear props for launching the first actively managed ETF, Bear Stearns Current Yield ETF (YYY). So what did this innovative new fund invest in? Mortgage securities. Naturally.

Bear's final hurrah didn’t last long. In September , the fund's Board of Trustees unanimously approved its liquidation "in the best interests of the Fund and its shareholders.”

October 2008 performance review

October was a month where there was, to quote Martha and the Vandellas, ‘nowhere to run to, nowhere to hide’. The S&P 500 dropped a whopping 16.8% – and would have been down far more were it not for the sharp 1,000+ point surge in the Dow during the last few days of the month. The S&P 500 is now lower than it was when we launched our model portfolios in April 2002. With this backdrop, we’re satisfied with our 27% to 71% since inception return range across our model portfolios.