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Got The Fed Rate Cut Blues?

06/26/08 - Tips & Tricks

One unfortunate result of the Fed's attempts at economic stimulus is the ever-lowering rates of interest offered by money market funds. How low? Today even most Vanguard money market funds yield under 2% TAXABLE (higher fee funds yield even less). Apparently the Federal Reserve is more concerned with encouraging borrowing (and why not, it has worked so well in the past...) and supporting asset bubbles and speculators in higher risk investments than looking out for the few, the proud, the low-risk money savers.

What's a guy to do? While those with millions of dollars to park are basically hosed, small investors can find some great teaser deals in FDIC-insured bank products. An article. by Laura Bruce for Bankrate.com notes some of the best:

HSBC, for example, has raised the rate on its HSBC Direct Online Savings Account to 3.5 percent, from 3.05 percent. The yield is good through Aug. 15 and applies to new and current funds.

Some institutions, such as EverBank, seem to a have an introductory offer for new money. EverBank is paying a yield of 4.01 percent for the first three months on its money market and interest checking accounts.

Some yields are eye-popping, such as Shore Bank's 10 percent for 90 days on its Grand Slam Checking account. You have to live in Maryland or Virginia to take advantage of the offer. The same goes for Flagstar Bank's 10 percent, six-month CD that you can get if you open a checking account at one of the bank's offices in Michigan, Indiana or Georgia."

To play the game right, be prepared to move on to the next teaser when yours expires (though some of these companies have decent deals even after the teaser period ends). Not worth the effort? Perhaps, but just think about how much time you spent finding the best deal on your T.V.

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may 2008 performance review

In May the hope that the worst was behind us in the mortgage crisis and in financials evaporated. Financial SPDR (XLF) – the financial sector ETF – was down 6.08% in May, while the KBW Bank ETF was down almost 8%. Oddly, REITs (real estate investment trusts) bucked the trend with a slight increase in the category as a whole, as investors continue to think this part of the real estate market won’t sink much more than it already has.

Popular Move Into Battered Financials Doesn't Pan Out

Many investors - both great and small - have bought bank and other financial stocks over the last year. Rationales for these purchases probably included "the worst was over" or "the stocks were cheap and more than reflected the problems in lending." Early this year in we noted that there was more money going into the popular Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) after it fell sharply - a rare flip-flop in normal fund investor buy-high/sell-low behavior.

How have investors done since moving into financial stocks? Not so well. Yesterday Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) was near the 52-week low, down about 15% from early February.

Barron's discusses the bargain hunt that hasn't led to many bargains so far:

After riding out the credit crunch, the subprime-mortgage debacle and the March collapse of Bear Stearns, investors in April and May began bargain-hunting in the group. But June struck like a thunderbolt, with Lehman Brothers (ticker: LEH), the new hedge-fund whipping boy, plagued by rampant rumors about its liquidity. There were reports Lehman planned in response to push up its earnings release and announce a rights offering to raise capital."

As far as we're concerned, we're largely staying away from financials until something REALLY dramatic happens and scares away fund investors - a big commercial bank failure, a Fannie / Freddie catastrophe - before we'll consider a broad recommendation to bottom fish financial sector funds. As we noted in February, it's not a true buying opportunity until only a few people want to buy.

Vanguard Splits ETFs For Mysterious Reasons

06/05/08 - Breaking News, ETFs, VTI, VWO, VXF

Vanguard Splits ETFs For Mysterious Reasons

Apparently Vanguard has been a little too successful in attracting smart, fee-conscious, long-term investors.

Its relatively new exchange-traded (ETF) fund lineup has achieved remarkable success, hitting $50 billion in assets - $8.5 billion came in so far in 2008 alone. So why is Vanguard messing with such a good thing, using gimmicks the firm wouldn't use with its traditional funds?

This article off the Dow Jones Newswire offers possible explanations including:

The effect of Vanguard's share split will be to allow investors to trade the funds in smaller amounts. For now, each of the three ETFs' share price is more than $100. Shares of Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF are about $138, meaning that's the de facto minimum investment for any investor who wants to buy the fund, and the smallest increment in which existing investors can buy and sell. After the split the new number will should closer to $69."

But investors with less than $100 should probably not be investing in ETFs at all. Even at a cheap discount broker an ETF investor is going to pay $7 in commissions - which is a big chunk of a sub-$100 ETF investment. That kind of cost runs counter to one of exchange traded funds' main selling points - their cheapness of ownership.

Checking Up on the Buy-High, Sell-Low Crowd

Fund investors have a bad habit of buying high and selling low. They do so with specific funds, categories of funds, and the stock market in general. This behavior is one of the top reasons why, as studies have shown, fund investors underperform the stock market. This behavior is also the basis of most of our contrarian fund-investing decisions – we try to invest the way the typical fund investor does not. 

ETFs vs. Mutual Funds - The Debate Continues

05/23/08 - Investing Advice

When you spend every waking hour for a decade working on a mutual fund investing website, you get a little cranky over fund-related innacuracies. We were so annoyed about that trader/gibberish panel discussion about exchange traded funds vs. mutual funds the other day we decided to make our own video about the very same subject. Sort of. Well, it's really just a segment on a business TV show about said topic. At a bar. Hey - we're not Morningstar or CNBC - we don't get to have a conference at a fancy hotel with thousands in attendance. Anyhoo, we're pretty sure MAXfunds.com co-founder Jonas Ferris hadn't had a drink before participating in this enlightening ETF discussion.

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