Russ Asks:
You call the Vanguard Precious Metals & Mining Fund (VGPMX) a MAXadvisor Favorite Fund, but it has a MAXoutlook of -16%. Why do you call a fund a MAXadvisor Favorite if you think it is going to perform so poorly in the next year?"
How can we like and hate the same fund? We’re not bipolar – here’s how it works:
We give MAXadvisor Favorite honors to at least one fund in every stock fund category. No matter how well we think a category is going to do , we'll try and find the best funds available to you. You'll find a Favorite Fund listed in some categories we think are currently a very bad place to be invested - categories like real estate, Latin America, and yes, precious metals.
Our MAXoutlook is our forecast for a fund’s performance over the next twelve months. This figure is largely driven by our forecast for the fund’s category, the fund’s quality and fees, and the fund’s risk level. Safer funds generally don’t have big negative forecasts even if the category ranks poorly.